Skip to main content

Investment Should Be Continuous – Not influenced by Greed & Fear

 "You only have to do a very few things right in your life so long as you don't do too many things wrong" - Warren Buffett

India celebrated Vijay-Dashami – a festival that celebrates the victory of good over evil. When we talk about investing mistakes or evils, the two fundamental evils are – Greed and Fear that causes consequential investing mistakes & sometime blunders.

Common question across time periods that we come across from our investor is, “Should I invest at this level”. And this question is irrespective of the market situation – whether stock markets are in bear phase – continuously falling for many sessions or are in bull phase-increasing rapidly or are range bound with no great swing on either side.

This is because of our inherent human trait of either being too greedy or too afraid of the assumed situation. When we talk of long term, everybody agrees that in the long run economy will grow for sure and stock markets will also rise. And it is a general consensus that in the long run equity markets will outperform all other asset classes.

What is the answer – Our simple answer to this question is - INVEST. We often tell our investors is that you should ask where I should invest at these levels. Whether you should invest in equity or debt or gold or real estate – that should be your question. And our answer to the same will depend on your investment objectives. Your investment objectives include the purpose of your investment i.e. end objective, time to achieve that objective, your risk appetite, liquidity needs and many others.

Current Market Situation – Markets are in a bull phase. Economic activities are back to pre-covid levels though there is shift in consumption patterns due to the lessons learnt during covid period. Companies are reporting good profits though a good amount of profits can be attributed to cost savings in interest payments and operations. Sales activities have also picked up well which is reflected by higher GST collection.

Capacity utilization has increased and it increased the consumption of power and fuel as well. Increased capacity utilization will motivate entrepreneurs to commission new plants, open more offices and generate more employment. And higher employment will lead to higher incomes and higher spending.

Steps taken over last few years by the government, especially in the field of infrastructure will help faster movements of goods to different places and also result in lot of saving in transportation cost. Recently announced Gati Shakti Master Plan will take infrastructure development to a very different level and ensure great savings in terms of time and cost both.

With all positives there are certain concerns as well. Inflation and fear of rate increase by RBI, China’s economic worries and supply constraints, concerns over power supply in India, socio/politico situations in India and the world, trade war tension, are few among them.

What should an Investor do – Will the market momentum continue over next one, three or six months or even a year – we don’t know. Will there be correction like last March – honestly we can never predict such movements. What we know is - it’s very important to win over your Greed at this point of time. Those who have made high profits must book profits and rebalance the portfolio. We strongly advise you to talk to your advisor to know what should be your asset allocation at this point of time.

For all your investment queries or review of existing investment and insurance policies, you may whatsapp/write to us at 📱 9958447700 / 9254673750 or   📧  info@investmentmitra.com

Thank you.

Happy Investing!

Team InvestmentMitra

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

This Republic Day Write Your Own Financial Constitution

“Constitution is not mere a lawyer’s document, it is a vehicle of life and its spirit is always the spirit of Age” – BR Ambedkar A constitution primarily is a document that details the rights, obligations, privileges, duties and responsibilities of the people living within the corridors of, and leading that country. It details the rule of governance. Without a constitution it will be difficult to live like a civilised society. We would be living like in stone-age where “Might was Right” and jungle raj prevailed all over. Like a country, each individual should also have his or his family’s own financial constitution detailing various financial objectives and the process to achieve those financial objectives, rules that will govern the way its finances will be managed etc. This applies to all individuals without exception and is more popularly known as “Financial Plan”. Like a constitution your financial plan should have a Preamble and different schedules. Preamble -...

Time or Timing – What is more important with Sensex @ 64K

  The Stock Market is the device to transfer wealth from the IMPATIENT to the PATIENT. After swinging in a range for almost one and half years, markets breached their previous peaks and are scaling new one now. Markets have risen by almost over 14% in last three months. Major reason for this sudden rise is the return of FIIs to the Indian stock markets following the fact that India is the fastest growing economy and growing over 6% despite covid, global economic slowdown and geo-political tensions. We invest for long term and everyone knows in the long run markets will go up irrespective of intermittent shocks like scams, dot-com bubble, Lehman crisis, covid or banking troubles in USA etc. Following picture depict the journey of Sensex over 40 years since its inception.   Source; www.thenwsmen.co.in The unfortunate part is we are more concerned about the short term movements of the markets. Every time there is sudden rise or fall in them market we are gripped more by f...

On Cross Roads

“We cannot truly plan, because we do not understand the future- but this is not necessarily a bad news. We could plan while bearing in mind such limitations. It just take guts.”- Taleb:   Propounder of The Black Swan theory. Pessimism that set in March, still persists in our minds. In fact it has deepened with growing number of Covid cases being reported. The largest question ruling our minds today is - Shall we ever be able to overcome it…………..     and if yes by when and how? Have we ever wondered how have the Indian culture survived for so many thousands of years, how come so many Indians who were transported as labourers to many African and European countries centuries ago are now ruling the roost or how come most of the top 20 firms in the world have Indian heading them and so on……….. The only reason to above and many such questions is our “ Ability to Adapt ”. We are fast learner and very quickly adapt to new situation. Indians enjoys six different we...

Markets Tumbling, Recovering – What to do??

Markets Tumbling, Recovering – What to do?? "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second best time is now." - Chinese proverb. In times like present most people flock towards safety. Most do it because they don’t know how long this doomsday atmosphere will last, some even feeling like there will be No Tomorrow. But hunger for good returns on our investment never ceases. Kin Hubbard satires, "The safest way to double your money is to fold it over and put it in your pocket." On investment and earning good money from them, Warren Buffet – the legendary investor says, "If I buy a farm, I don't know whether there's going to be drought next year, but I know that there are not going to be 20 straight years of drought, and I know there's not going to be 20 straight years of great rainfall." It is a proven fact that no matter what, in long term best returns come from stock markets only. And as Seth Klarman says, “The stock mar...

Have You Missed Boarding the Bus

  "The market does not trade upon what everybody knows, but upon what those with the best information can foresee" – William Hamilton Russia-Ukraine conflict had clouded the stock markets worldwide giving speculations to the talks like possibilities of third world war, Russia heading for deep financial crisis, energy crisis looming large over Europe etc. With Russia-Ukraine conflict seems getting settled and much to the pleasure of Russia – the Super Power, this has now become a non-player for the markets until some significant deviation happens from the present stance taken by all major countries of the world. Present is the world of instant. We want everything instant and so are our reactions. In the age of internetted social life, dissemination of information is highly fluid. And over 99% of these netizens have mastered the art of forwarding such information without verifying if it’s a news, noise or manipulated agenda of some interested parties.   Most economies in...