4.2.2018
"I never attempt to make money on the stock market. I
buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not
reopen it for five years." – Warren Buffett
Market
is abuzz with noise on long term capital gains tax and its impact on your
investments. All those people who were ranting against exempting agriculture
income till now, have turned their rhetoric against levy of this LTCG tax on
equity. While we believe government is accumulating feedback and may bring in
some respite in form of allowing indexation benefit on these, this tax is going
to stay and we must align our investment strategy to this reality.
First
thing we must understand that this tax will be applicable only on the capital
appreciation over the values as on 31st January 2018. Also in case
your cost of acquisition of a share or mutual fund is higher than the value as
on 31st January then higher cost will be considered as your cost of
acquisition. So you don’t have to worry about any gain you have made till now
on your equity investments including equity mutual funds.
The
Friday Bash: Fall of over 2.5% in Nifty and
Sensex on Friday is being attributed to introduction of LTCG tax. But a little
scrutiny will tell you that it was not only Indian markets even Dow Jones
Industrial Average, an index for American stock markets also fell by almost the
same margins on the same day. Further scrutiny will tell you foreign investors
invested almost twice the amount that Indian investors sold on Friday. Clearly
the foreign investors are still finding a lot of juice in Indian stock markets
despite this LTCG tax and encashed the opportunity to enter the market.
What
looks like to happen: We at InvestmentMitra feel Friday’s
fall should not continue for long and should not culminate into the kind of
correction that everyone is talking about and even we were also waiting for
sometime. For the big investors including corporate who are likely to make
handsome money from stock markets over their portfolio values of 31st
January between February and March 2018, will be booking their long term
profits before the end of the current financial year to save on the taxes that
will be leviable from 1st April onwards. Around that time we might
see more price correction taking place, higher in magnitude than the current
one.
Strategy
going further: We advise our investors to wait patiently
and not to panic till mid of the March. In case your portfolio has gained
substantially from 31st January’s values and is long term then you
can book profits, otherwise there is no need to even look at the valuations as
this will be a temporary phenomenon. Also preserve your cash and use it to
benefit from the sale that market may offer. Do look for an opportunity to book
long term capital loss in April to offset your future long term capital gains.
Sit
down with your investment advisor at the earliest to identify the opportunities
in your portfolio and pen down the action points to be taken in next 2-3
months.
For
any further query or discussions or for an alternate opinion you may contact us
at InvestmentMitra by replying to this message or may email to info@investmentmitra.com.
Happy
investing!
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